I was writing something up about the 20 year strategy for Irish and was looking at the "figures" in a brochure from Údarás which seem to reflect the numbers in the general 20 year plan.
On the page I scanned here,
They mention an increase from 83,000 daily speakers to 250,000.
Then they also mention an increase from 77,185 daily speakers outside the education system in Ireland, to 250,000 or a growth of 69%.
Then there is an planned increase of 23,175 speakers in the Gaeltacht to 30,000, or a 25% increase.
There are a couple of questions I have around this.
1.Firstly why the two different figures, are there 77,185 daily speakers or 83,000 ?
2.Does anyone know does this 83,000 (or 77,185 ) include the Gaeltacht or not ?
3. What is the 69% in reference too ? Maths is not my strong point but an increase from 83,000 to 250,000 is a 200% increase. Not a 69%
I cant find any information where they pulled them from, does anyone have any idea where I could look ?
specifically, where did they come up with the target of Daily speakers.
It seems strange to say the least (if not ass backwards) to plan a 200% increase nationwide , but only a 25% increase in the Gaeltacht.
What ever methods they use (which they dont seem to mentioned) that they think will increase the number of speakers by 200%, why not apply them to the Gaeltacht?
If these methods do work as they imagine, it would give you 69,525 speakers in The Gaeltacht , over the 69% threshold which is needed to maintain Irish as the main community language in a given area.
Ive done a lot of digging online and I am beginning to feel that these numbers were just pulled out of thin air. Nor anything on the methods that can supposedly achieve these results.